"The Big Picture: Hospitals in a Volatile Healthcare Environment"

Gloria Bazzoli, Ph.D.
Professor of Health Administration
Virginia Commonwealth University

Slide #1:

Hospital Closures and Mergers

This slide contains a chart that provides information on the percentages of all hospitals and respective numbers of individual hospitals that have closed or merged during the period between1986-2000. In 1986-88, 3.6 % (253) of hospitals closed and 2.2% (153) merged. In 1989-1991, 3.3% (224) of all hospitals closed, and 2.0% (138) merged. In 1992-1994, 3.7% (247) closed and 2.7% (179) merged. Between 1995-1997, 3.0% (192) closed and 5.8 (368) merged. Between 1998-2000, 3.2% (197) closed and 2.2% (135) merged.

Slide #2:

Industry Financial Performance & Closure/Merger Trends

On three separate lines, this graph shows the numbers of hospitals that were closed, that had merged, and that had negative margins during the period 1986-2000. The graph shows that the number of hospitals with negative margins has remained rather stable during this period. It shows that the number of closures fluctuated between 225-250 until 1992 when that rate dropped to and has remained slightly under 200 closures per year. The number of mergers grew steadily until about 1990 when the number spiked to nearly double the 1992 rate in 1995. That rate has since come back down to just below 150 per year.

Slide #3:

Organizational Change: Distressed and Non-Distressed Community Hospitals

This chart gives percentages of two types of hospitals-"distressed" or "non-distressed"- that were closed, acquired through a merger, or survived during two time periods. The first period was 1985-1990. During this time, 6.0% of distressed hospitals closed and 5.6% of "non-distressed" hospitals closed. In this same period, 1.7% of distressed hospitals were acquired through mergers and 3.2% of "non-distressed" hospitals were acquired. 92.3% of distressed hospitals survived this 5 year period and 91.2% of "non-distressed" hospitals survived. For the period between 1994-1998, 3.8% of "distressed" hospitals closed and 1.2% of "non-distressed" hospitals closed. 6.0% of distressed facilities were acquired through a merger and 6.7% of "non-distressed" facilities were acquired in a merger. 90.2% of distressed hospitals survived and 92.1% of "non-distressed" hospitals survived.


Slide #4:

Financial Pressures and Hospital Operations

When confronted with financial pressures, hospitals:


Slide #5

Changes in Hospital Credit Ratings: Last Decade

This graph provides information on the change in the distribution of hospitals' credit ratings in the last decade. It shows that the distribution has narrowed, with a greater number of hospitals rated "A", fewer at the extremes (at triple A or below triple B)

Slide #6

Hospital Mergers and Financial Performance

Slide #7:

Hospital Mergers and Financial Performance

Slide #8:

Special Pressures on Hospital Safety Net

Slide #9

Trends in Total Margins of DSH and Non-DSH Hospitals

This graph consists of three lines that represent three different types of hospitals: Non-DSH, DSH Rural, and DSH- Large Urban. The margins since 1990 and up to 1999 are charted. In 1990, different types of hospitals experienced different types of trends in margins. However, margins for all three types of hospitals reached a peak in the latter part of this period but have all since experienced significant decreases in margins starting around 1997.

Slide #10:

The Balance Sheet: UC Costs and Subsidies (billions of $)

Uncompensated care costs of public/private hospitals in 1997 totaled $18.5 billion. In 1996-1998, offsetting subsidies for uncompensated care to public/private hospitals were as follows: $4.2 billion from Medicare DSH; %4.4 billion from Medicare IME; a gross subsidy of $18.2 billion from Medicaid DSH, which works out to $9.9 billion dollar net subsidy with about $5.9 billion net amount to hospitals. The total UC subsidies amounted to $14.5 billion, leaving hospitals with $4 billion of unsubsidized UC costs.

Slide #11

Evidence of Declining Voluntary Charity Care

Slide #12:

Needed Research: Financial Pressures and Hospital Operations:

We need to know:

Slide #13:

Needed Research: Hospital Safety Net and Financial Pressures

Slide #14:

Data to Assess Hospital Trends: National Sources:


Slide #15:

Data to Assess Hospital Trends: State Sources: